From New Zealand to US: Global Luxury Home Prices Fall for First Time Since 2009

An index of prime prices in 46 cities declined 0.4% year-over-year, the first drop since 2009, according to real estate consultancy Knight Frank

Home prices in New Zealand are now down 11% from their peak.
By Alice Kantor
May 10, 2023 | 03:30 PM

Bloomberg — Global luxury home prices fell in the first quarter for the first time since the financial crisis.

An index of prime prices in 46 cities declined 0.4% year-over-year, the first drop since 2009, according to real estate consultancy Knight Frank. That’s a sharp reversal from 10% growth seen in the fourth quarter of 2021.

New Zealand’s housing market posted the biggest slump, with luxury home prices in Wellington, Auckland and Christchurch falling by double digits. Major cities including San Francisco, New York, Los Angeles, Hong Kong and Vancouver also saw prime prices drop.

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Knight Frank defines prime homes as the top 5% of a market in terms of value.

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“The slowdown in growth has overwhelmingly been driven by sharply higher interest rates following recent tightening in global monetary policy,” wrote Liam Bailey, Knight Frank’s global head of research.

Still, the majority of cities tracked by the firm saw prices increase in the first quarter, with Dubai and Miami posting double-digit gains. Prices in Dubai surged 44%, bringing its total pandemic-era growth from March 2020 to 149%.

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While luxury housing markets are likely to experience continued downward pressure for the next few quarters, there are few signs of a repeat of the financial crisis, when the index fell 8.2% from peak to trough, Bailey wrote.